Warning: Obligatory Trade Deadline Post Ahead


Some interesting action this year. Obviously, the big news was that the Warriors traded Brandan Wright for Troy Murphy’s contract and a second round pick. Also, some may find it interesting to know that Carmelo Anthony and Deron Williams were traded. So, while everyone is focused on analyzing the Brandan Wright move, in this post, I’m going to use ezPM to analyze some of these less publicized trade deadline deals.

DEN – NYK

The TRADE

Denver sends Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups to New York for Danilo Gallinari, Wilson Chandler, Raymond Felton, and Timofey Mozgov. Clearly, Denver got a good deal. They definitely received some talent for two players that they were going to lose. The real question is whether NYK made the right move.

The Stats

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS EZPM100 TO100 TD100 O100 D100 REB100 OEFG OWN OEFF USG ORR DRR
Carmelo Anthony DEN 3 3522 50 3.33 2.03 1.30 0.94 0.99 1.40 0.50 20.95 3.00 31.47% 30.68% 84.35%
Chauncey Billups DEN 1.01 3251 51 1.41 4.49 -3.07 4.40 -2.17 -0.82 0.53 19.87 18.95 23.21% 9.38% 72.19%
Wilson Chandler NYK 3.49 3422 30 0.33 0.22 0.10 0.41 0.51 -0.59 0.54 19.32 2.11 19.37% 19.59% 78.37%
Raymond Felton NYK 1 4081 54 -0.26 2.07 -2.33 2.08 -1.54 -0.80 0.55 19.36 8.36 24.90% 18.43% 74.62%
Danilo Gallinari NYK 3.5 3246 48 -0.50 2.21 -2.71 2.54 -0.94 -2.09 0.54 20.43 14.22 17.83% 18.11% 62.14%
Timofey Mozgov NYK 5 910 14 -4.65 -0.92 -3.73 -2.65 -0.88 -1.12 0.62 23.30 -17.35 15.29% 38.32% 55.21%

In terms of the numbers, it looks like NYK comes out ahead here, and by that, I mean they come out ahead of where they are right now. Move Turiaf into the starting lineup with Melo and Billups, and the team looks to have improved quite a bit. I don’t think this move gets NYK past Miami or Boston, but it probably does prevent them from facing either of those teams in the first round.

The Verdict

This is a win-win. NYK improves and Denver gets some young talent in return, although I’m not convinced any of the four are going to be difference makers in the long run.

UTA – NJN

The Trade

Utah sends Deron Williams to New Jersey for Devin Harris, Derrick Favors, two first round picks and $3M in cash.

The Stats

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS EZPM100 TO100 TD100 O100 D100 REB100 OEFG OWN OEFF USG ORR DRR
Derrick Favors NJN 4 1996 23 -0.58 1.37 -1.95 -1.79 0.11 1.10 0.52 25.15 -11.11 16.10% 42.28% 64.58%
Devin Harris NJN 1 3201 54 -1.09 2.02 -3.11 2.08 -2.69 -0.49 0.54 19.93 7.41 28.14% 7.59% 81.82%
Deron Williams UTA 1 3776 53 2.31 4.58 -2.26 4.13 -1.93 0.12 0.51 20.84 14.10 29.26% 19.28% 81.99%

The Verdict

Deron is only +2.3 according to ezPM, so I wouldn’t classify him as an elite point guard. NJN clearly gains short-term here, with DWill over Harris. But long term, losing Favors, a talented and very young big, and two first round picks (which will be good ones, I assume), makes this trade questionable in my opinion. It’s a win for Utah, but I’d have to call it a push for New Jersey. I don’t think this move makes them significantly better in the short term or the long term.

LAC – CLE

The Trade

Clips send Baron Davis and a first round pick in ’11 to Cleveland for Mo Williams and Jamario Moon.

The Stats

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS EZPM100 TO100 TD100 O100 D100 REB100 OEFG OWN OEFF USG ORR DRR
Jamario Moon CLE 3 1424 13 -1.68 -1.19 -0.49 -1.18 -0.55 0.05 0.60 20.01 -10.13 11.69% 14.29% 80.91%
Mo Williams CLE 1 1490 24 -4.06 0.55 -4.61 -0.00 -4.36 0.31 0.54 22.35 -0.00 28.97% 20.90% 80.77%
Baron Davis LAC 1.02 2396 34 -2.80 1.14 -3.95 0.44 -3.26 0.02 0.58 21.87 1.63 26.81% 21.17% 75.21%

The Verdict

Ugh. This one isn’t about talent. It’s about Cleveland getting another first round pick and LA shedding salary (and weight). Win-win.

BOS – OKC

The Trade

Boston sends Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson to OKC for Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic.

The Stats

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS EZPM100 TO100 TD100 O100 D100 REB100 OEFG OWN OEFF USG ORR DRR
Kendrick Perkins BOS 4.99 553 6 -0.67 -1.41 0.74 -2.42 1.32 0.43 0.46 24.05 -16.08 15.06% 29.41% 73.26%
Nate Robinson BOS 1.49 1824 11 -3.41 -0.84 -2.57 -1.40 -2.18 0.17 0.53 23.19 -6.66 21.06% 18.07% 84.15%
Nenad Krstic OKC 5 1897 45 -1.81 -0.18 -1.64 -0.58 0.16 -1.40 0.50 20.35 -3.86 15.05% 27.74% 60.82%
Jeff Green OKC 4 3329 47 -4.04 -0.83 -3.21 -0.41 -1.33 -2.30 0.57 23.91 -2.21 18.46% 17.65% 60.86%

The Verdict

OKC gets the big man in the middle that they need, and dumps Jeff Green, who was destined to play out of position as long as he was playing next to Durant. It’s not clear to me why exactly Boston made this move. My speculation is that they feel by moving Jeff Green to SF (behind Pierce) that he has the skills to be much more productive. I guess. It’s a win for OKC, and a loss for Boston until they win the championship. (Let’s face it, if they don’t win — this move might cause Ainge his job.)

ATL – WAS

The Trade

Atlanta sends Mike Bibby, Jordan Crawford, Maurice Evans, and a R1 pick to the Wizards for Kirk Hinrich and Hilton Armstrong.

The Stats

NAME TEAM POS POSS GS EZPM100 TO100 TD100 O100 D100 REB100 OEFG OWN OEFF USG ORR DRR
Mike Bibby ATL 1.01 3053 55 -2.04 0.91 -2.95 0.87 -2.58 -0.33 0.50 22.31 5.64 15.41% 12.10% 77.30%
Maurice Evans ATL 2.51 1518 12 -2.97 -1.42 -1.55 -1.15 -0.95 -0.88 0.54 20.82 -9.54 12.01% 17.16% 75.71%
Jordan Crawford ATL 1.99 310 0 -8.62 -5.38 -3.24 -6.70 -2.61 0.69 0.52 23.55 -25.79 25.97% 37.50% 74.07%
Kirk Hinrich WAS 1.5 2812 29 0.31 1.32 -1.01 1.50 -0.39 -0.80 0.53 21.73 7.86 19.04% 9.09% 78.10%
Hilton Armstrong WAS 4.49 805 2 -2.18 -1.19 -0.99 -2.71 1.29 -0.76 0.56 24.22 -25.30 10.73% 32.23% 61.70%

The Verdict

The only part of this trade that really matters is Bibby vs. Hinrich. It looks like Hinrich should be an upgrade. Is it going to get Atlanta past, say, the second round? Doubtful. Worth a late first round pick? Maybe not. Probably a win for WAS, who needs to keep stockpiling young talent. I’d say it’s a win in the short term for Atlanta, but maybe a loss going forward.

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